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Robust explainer recommendation for time series classification.
Thu Trang Nguyen1, Thach Le Nguyen1, Georgiana Ifrim1
1School of Computer Science, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery
|October 30, 2024
Summary
Evaluating time series explanation methods is crucial for understanding models. This study introduces a novel framework to quantitatively rank and recommend the best explanation method for time series classification tasks.
Area of Science:
- Machine Learning
- Data Science
- Time Series Analysis
Background:
- Time series classification is vital in fields like human activity recognition and sports analytics.
- Explainability is increasingly important for understanding time series data and classification models.
- Existing explanation techniques produce saliency maps that can conflict, creating uncertainty about their reliability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel framework for quantitatively evaluating and ranking explanation methods in time series classification.
- To enable robust comparison of different explanation techniques and recommend the most suitable one for a given dataset.
- To address the challenge of conflicting saliency maps from various explanation methods.
Main Methods:
- Proposing AMEE (Model-Agnostic Explanation Evaluation), a framework for recommending saliency-based explanations.
- Utilizing data perturbation guided by explanations to assess their informativeness and impact on classification accuracy.
- Aggregating accuracy loss across diverse perturbations and classifiers for robust evaluation.
Main Results:
- Perturbing discriminative time series segments identified by explanations significantly alters classification accuracy.
- The AMEE framework successfully ranks explanation methods, outperforming random and oracle baselines.
- Demonstrated effectiveness across synthetic, diverse time-series datasets, and a real-world case study.
Conclusions:
- The proposed AMEE framework provides a robust method for evaluating and selecting explanation techniques for time series classification.
- Quantitative evaluation of explanation methods is feasible and essential for reliable model interpretability.
- This work facilitates the selection of optimal explainers, enhancing trust and understanding in time series classification models.


