An Innovative Telomere-associated Prognosis Model in AML: Predicting Immune Infiltration and Treatment Responsiveness

To build an innovative telomere-associated scoring model to predict prognosis and treatment responsiveness in acute myeloid leukemia (AML).

AML is a highly heterogeneous malignant hematologic disorder with a poor prognosis. While telomere maintenance is frequently observed in tumors, investigations into telomere-related genes (TRGs) in AML remain limited.

This study aimed to identify prognostic TRGs using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and multivariate Cox regression, evaluate their predictive value, explore the association between TRG scores and immune cell infiltration, and assess the sensitivity of high-scoring AML patients to chemotherapeutic agents.

Univariate Cox regression analysis was conducted on the TCGA cohort to identify prognostic TRGs and to develop the TRG scoring model using LASSO-Cox and multivariate Cox regression. Validation was performed on the GSE37642 cohort. Immune cell infiltration patterns were assessed through computational analysis, and the sensitivity to chemotherapeutic agents was evaluated.

Thirteen prognostic TRGs were identified, and a seven-TRG scoring model (including NOP10, OBFC1, PINX1, RPA2, SMG5, MAPKAPK5, and SMN1) was developed. Higher TRG scores were associated with a poorer prognosis, as confirmed in the GSE37642 cohort, and remained an independent prognostic factor even after adjusting for other clinical characteristics. The high-score group was characterized by elevated infiltration of B cells, T helper cells, natural killer cells, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, regulatory T (Treg) cells, M2 macrophages, neutrophils, and monocytes, along with reduced infiltration of gamma delta T cells, CD4- T cells, and resting mast cells. Moreover, high infiltration of M2 macrophages and Tregs was associated with poor overall survival compared to low infiltration. Notably, high-risk AML patients were resistant to Erlotinib, Parthenolide, and Nutlin-3a, but sensitive to AC220, Midostaurin, and Tipifarnib. Additionally, using RT-qPCR, we observed significantly higher expression of two model genes, OBFC1 and SMN1, in AML tissues compared to control tissues.

This innovative TRG scoring model demonstrates considerable predictive value for AML patient prognosis, offering valuable insights for optimizing treatment strategies and personalized medicine approaches. The identified TRGs and associated scoring models could aid in risk stratification and guide tailored therapeutic interventions in AML patients.