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Unveiling the Indian Ocean forcing on winter eastern warming - western cooling pattern over North America
Yurong Hou1,2, Shang-Ping Xie3, Nathaniel C Johnson4
1International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Nature Communications
|November 7, 2024
Summary
The Indian Ocean significantly influences North American winter weather through a newly identified teleconnection. This pattern causes colder U.S. West Coast winters and warmer Great Lakes conditions, impacting climate predictions.
Area of Science:
- Atmospheric Science
- Climate Dynamics
- Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions
Background:
- The tropical Pacific's influence on North American climate is well-established.
- The Indian Ocean's teleconnections to North America remain less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the Indian Ocean's role in North American winter climate.
- To identify and characterize the Indian Ocean - North America (IONA) teleconnection pattern.
Main Methods:
- Utilized observational data analysis.
- Employed hierarchy atmospheric model simulations of varying complexity.
Main Results:
- Identified the Indian Ocean - North America pattern, a significant teleconnection.
- Warm Indian Ocean phases correlate with colder U.S. West Coast winters (increased snowfall) and warmer Great Lakes regions.
- Snow-albedo feedback amplifies Rossby wave-induced surface temperature anomalies.
- This teleconnection operates on both interannual and multi-decadal timescales.
Conclusions:
- The Indian Ocean is a critical driver of North American winter climate.
- The IONA teleconnection's impact is comparable to, though slightly less pronounced than, tropical Pacific influences.
- Understanding the Indian Ocean's role is vital for improving North American climate prediction and future projections.
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