Future land use maps for the Netherlands based on the Dutch One Health Shared Socio-economic Pathways

Area of Science:

• Environmental Science
• Public Health
• Spatial Planning

Background:

• Future health challenges necessitate detailed environmental and land-use assessments.
• The Netherlands serves as a relevant case study for urbanizing deltas globally.

Purpose of the Study:

• To develop future land use maps for the Netherlands in 2050.
• To support the study of a wide range of health challenges impacting people, animals, and the environment.

Main Methods:

• Utilized the DynaCLUE modeling framework.
• Integrated environmental data (altitude, soil, groundwater, salinity, flood risk, climate) and socio-economic factors (agricultural land price, transport access, land use demand, historical changes, spatial restrictions).

Main Results:

• Generated detailed future land use maps for the Netherlands for 2050.
• The maps incorporate multiple environmental and demand-driven variables.

Conclusions:

• The created land use maps are valuable tools for modeling various health risks, including disease, water quality, and pollution.
• These maps can inform policy and planning in the Netherlands and similar rapidly urbanizing delta regions.