Re-evaluating the timing of sequential cranial ultrasound screening in very preterm infants for predicting

Sunaina Ramdass1,2, Tim Disher3, Michael Vincer2,4

  • 1Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Division of Pediatric Radiology, Dalhousie University, IWK Health, 5850/5980 University Avenue, PO Box 9700, Halifax, NS, B3K 6R8, Canada.

Pediatric Radiology
|December 4, 2024
PubMed

Insights

A single 6-week cranial ultrasound can accurately predict neurodevelopmental impairment in very preterm infants. This finding simplifies screening protocols and optimizes resource allocation for infant care.

Area of Science:

  • Neonatal neurology
  • Pediatric neuroimaging
  • Developmental pediatrics

Background:

  • Early prediction of neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) is vital for very preterm infants (<31 weeks' gestation).
  • Cranial ultrasound is standard for evaluating preterm brain injury, but optimal screening timing and frequency lack consensus.
  • Current practice at IWK Health Centre includes ultrasounds at 1, 2, 6 weeks, and term age.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the necessity of multiple ultrasound time points for NDI prognostication.
  • To determine if a simplified ultrasound model can accurately predict NDI at 36 months corrected age.
  • To test the hypothesis that a three-time-point model is sufficient for NDI prognostication.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of very preterm infants (22-30 weeks' gestation) born between 2004-2018.
  • Compared three NDI prediction models: 1) gestational age, sex, 2-week & 6-week ultrasound; 2) gestational age, sex, 6-week ultrasound; 3) gestational age, sex, 2-week ultrasound.
  • Neurodevelopmental assessment at 36 months corrected age was the primary outcome.

Main Results:

  • 656 survivors included (mean GA 27.5 weeks); 30% developed NDI by 36 months.
  • All models showed comparable discrimination (AUCs).
  • The 6-week ultrasound model (AUC 0.68) and the reference model (AUC 0.68) performed similarly, outperforming the 2-week model (AUC 0.66). The 6-week model had the lowest AIC (766).

Conclusions:

  • A 6-week ultrasound-only model is comparable to a 2-week and 6-week combined model for predicting NDI.
  • Eliminating the 2-week ultrasound does not impact predictive performance for NDI at 36 months corrected age.
  • Simplifying ultrasound screening to a 6-week assessment promotes efficient resource use without compromising prognostic accuracy.
Abstract

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