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Published on: March 31, 2023
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Recent global temperature surge intensified by record-low planetary albedo
Helge F Goessling1, Thomas Rackow2, Thomas Jung1,3
1Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.
Summary
In 2023, global temperatures hit a record high, nearly 1.5 kelvin above preindustrial levels. A surprising drop in planetary albedo, mainly due to reduced low cloud cover, explains the unexpected warming.
Area of Science:
- Climate Science
- Atmospheric Physics
- Global Warming Research
Background:
- 2023 marked a record-breaking year for global mean temperature.
- Observed warming exceeded previous records by approximately 0.17 kelvin.
- Known drivers like anthropogenic warming and El Niño did not fully account for the temperature anomaly.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify the primary drivers of the record 2023 global temperature rise.
- To explain the discrepancy between observed warming and estimates based on known factors.
- To investigate the role of planetary albedo and cloud cover in recent warming trends.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of satellite and reanalysis data.
- Quantification of planetary albedo changes.
- Investigation of low-cloud cover trends in key regions.
Main Results:
- A record-low planetary albedo was identified as the main factor explaining the temperature gap.
- Reduced low-cloud cover in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes and tropics was the primary cause of the albedo decline.
- This reduction is consistent with a continuing multiannual trend.
Conclusions:
- Decreased planetary albedo, driven by reduced low-cloud cover, is crucial for understanding 2023's record warming.
- Further research is needed to determine the causes of the low-cloud trend (internal variability, aerosols, or feedback).
- Understanding these factors is vital for accurate future climate change projections.
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