Risk factors for progressive kyphosis after percutaneous kyphoplasty in osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture

To investigate the risk factors associated with progressive kyphosis (PK) after percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs).

A single-center retrospective study (January 2020 to December 2022) analyzed 129 OVCF patients treated with PKP. Patients were divided into a PK group and a non-progressive kyphosis group. Clinical and radiological data were compared, and univariate and multivariate regression analyses identified independent risk factors for PK. A nomogram was then developed to predict the risk factors for PK after PKP.

Of 129 patients, 47 (36.4%) experienced PK after PKP. Multivariate analysis identified independent risk factors for PK as preoperative kyphosis angle (OR = 1.26, P = 0.008), Type D magnetic resonance image (MRI) signal change on T2-weighted images (T2WI) (OR = 18.49, P = 0.003), black line signal (OR = 44.00, P < 0.001), intervertebral disc endplate complex (IDEC) injury (OR = 7.86, P = 0.021), and postoperative Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) score (OR = 1.18, P = 0.004). The nomogram, based on these factors, demonstrated strong discriminative performance (area under the curve = 0.953) and good calibration.

Preoperative kyphosis angle, Type D MRI signal change on T2WI, black line signal, IDEC injury, and higher postoperative ODI score are independent risk factors for PK after PKP. A nomogram based on these factors accurately predicts PK risk.