Longitudinal serum bicarbonate and mortality risk in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: analyses

Gianmarco Lombardi1, Nicholas C Chesnaye2,3, Fergus J Caskey4

  • 1Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Verona and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy.

Clinical Kidney Journal
|December 13, 2024
PubMed

Insights

Serum bicarbonate (SBC) levels show a U-shaped relationship with mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients before kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Low SBC before KRT is linked to higher mortality risk post-KRT initiation.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Internal Medicine
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • Advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects serum bicarbonate (SBC) levels.
  • Understanding SBC's role in mortality is crucial across different CKD stages.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between serum bicarbonate (SBC) and all-cause mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD).
  • To examine this relationship across three distinct phases: pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT), transition to KRT, and during KRT.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the European QUALity Study on treatment in advanced CKD (EQUAL) cohort (n=1485, age ≥65, eGFR ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m²).
  • Employed multivariable time-dependent Cox regression models to analyze longitudinal SBC and mortality.
  • Assessed effect modification by clinical variables and KRT status.

Main Results:

  • A U-shaped relationship between SBC and mortality was observed in the pre-KRT population (P=.03).
  • Low cumulative SBC exposure before KRT initiation was associated with increased mortality risk after starting KRT (P=.01).
  • A trend towards increased mortality risk with low SBC was noted in the KRT population (P=.13).

Conclusions:

  • The association between SBC and mortality in advanced CKD differs across treatment stages.
  • A U-shaped curve characterizes the SBC-mortality link pre-KRT, while low SBC indicates higher risk during KRT.
Abstract

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