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A systematic risk spillover perspective for modelling China's energy security: Firm-level evidence
Miaomiao Tao1, David Roubaud2, Oksana Grebinevych3
1Energy Centre, Department of Economics, Business School, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Journal of Environmental Management
|December 13, 2024
Summary
China's energy security faces risks from corporate productivity and investment, especially during events like COVID-19. Global geopolitical risks significantly impact China's energy security, highlighting the need for strategic risk management.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Environmental Science
- Political Science
Background:
- Energy security is a critical area of academic and policy focus.
- Understanding firm-level vulnerabilities is essential for national energy security.
- Recent global events have highlighted the interconnectedness of energy, economy, and geopolitics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate China's energy security using firm-level data from 2013-2022.
- To identify the channels through which firm-level risks affect national energy security.
- To analyze the causal relationship between geopolitical risks and China's energy security.
Main Methods:
- Development of a novel energy security index.
- Application of a risk diffusion network matrix to firm-level data.
- Causality tests to determine the direction of influence between geopolitical risks and energy security.
Main Results:
- China's energy security exhibits temporal variability, especially during extreme events.
- Firm-level risks impact energy security via corporate productivity and investment efficiency.
- Global geopolitical risks have a unidirectional predictive effect on China's energy security, intensified by events like COVID-19.
Conclusions:
- Strategic risk management is crucial for enhancing energy resilience and efficiency.
- The findings offer insights into environmental management and national security.
- Geopolitical factors play a significant, predictable role in shaping China's energy security landscape.
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