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Insulin Resistance Predicts Prognosis in Patients With Subarachnoid Hemorrhage
Pengfei Ding1,2,3, Dingding Zhang1,2,3, Haiping Ling1,2,3
1Department of Neurosurgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Insights
Insulin resistance predicts poor outcomes in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients. A model combining age, glucose, triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, and TG/HDL ratio shows high accuracy for prognosis prediction.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Metabolic Syndrome
- Medical Prognostics
Background:
- Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) poses significant mortality risks.
- Predictive markers for SAH prognosis are crucial for patient management.
- Insulin resistance (IR) is increasingly recognized for its systemic effects.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate insulin resistance (IR) as a predictor of poor prognosis 3 months post-SAH.
- To evaluate the predictive value of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and TG/HDL ratio for SAH outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 358 SAH patients (age ≥18) due to ruptured aneurysms.
- Exclusion of patients with diabetes, specific drug use, or other systemic diseases.
- Utilized ROC, LASSO, and logistic regression to assess TyG index and TG/HDL ratio as predictors.
Main Results:
- Poor prognosis group showed higher age, BMI, hypertension, glucose, triglycerides, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio; lower HDL.
- Age, glucose, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio were significant predictors of SAH prognosis.
- A predictive model incorporating these factors demonstrated high discriminatory power (AUC = 0.80).
Conclusions:
- Insulin resistance is strongly linked to poor prognosis in SAH patients.
- A novel prognostic model combining age, glucose, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio offers clinical utility.
- This model may guide future therapeutic strategies for SAH.
Objective:
The objective of this study was to determine whether insulin resistance (IR) could be used as a predictor of poor prognosis at 3 months after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).
Methods:
The study included patients aged 18 years or older with a confirmed diagnosis of SAH due to ruptured aneurysm from January 2021 to March 2024. Patients with confirmed diabetes mellitus and taking glucose-lowering drugs, or taking lipid-lowering drugs, or SAH not due to ruptured aneurysm, or comorbid systemic diseases were excluded. Patients were classified into good prognosis (modified Rankin scale [MRS] 0-2) and poor prognosis (MRS 3-6). Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to determine the potential of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL) ratio as predictors of poor prognosis. Finally, a prognostic prediction model based on IR was constructed.
Results:
A total of 358 patients were included in this study. Poor prognosis patients had higher age, BMI, hypertension percentage, glucose, triglycerides, TyG index and TG/HDL ratio, and lower HDL. ROC, LASSO, and multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age, glucose, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio had significant potential to predict the prognosis of SAH patients. The prognostic prediction model constructed by combining age, glucose, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio had high discriminatory power (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.80), satisfactory calibration curves, and good clinical utility.
Conclusion:
IR is strongly associated with the prognosis of SAH patients, and the combination of age, glucose, TyG index, and TG/HDL ratio can provide a new direction for future treatment.
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