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A Novel Preoperative Scoring System to Accurately Predict Cord-Level Intraoperative Neuromonitoring Data Loss During
Nathan J Lee1,2, Lawrence G Lenke1,2, Varun Arvind1
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY.
The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. American Volume
|January 15, 2025
Summary
This study developed a machine learning tool to predict the risk of intraoperative neuromonitoring data loss during spinal deformity surgery. The new scoring system accurately identifies patients at high risk, improving surgical decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Neurosurgery
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Machine Learning in Medicine
Background:
- Accurate prediction of intraoperative neuromonitoring (IONM) data loss is crucial for spinal deformity correction.
- No existing prediction tool addresses the risk of cord-level IONM data loss.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a machine learning-derived scoring system to predict cord-level IONM data loss in spinal deformity surgery.
- To aid informed decision-making for patients undergoing spinal deformity correction.
Main Methods:
- A machine learning (ML) approach, including random forest (RF) analysis and multivariable logistic regression, was applied to 1,106 patients.
- Patients were divided into training (75%) and testing (25%) groups.
- A scoring system was developed using eight key predictive features identified through ML.
Main Results:
- The scoring system incorporates eight features, including sagittal deformity angular ratio (sDAR), spinal cord shape, conus medullaris level, and largest thoracic Cobb angle.
- Higher cumulative scores significantly correlated with increased rates of cord-level IONM data loss, ranging from 0.9% (score ≤2) to 86% (score ≥7).
- The system demonstrated high predictive performance with 93% accuracy, 75% sensitivity, 94% specificity, and an AUC of 0.898 in the testing group.
Conclusions:
- This study presents the first ML-derived preoperative scoring system for predicting cord-level IONM data loss in spinal deformity surgery.
- The developed scoring system achieves over 90% accuracy, offering a valuable tool for surgical planning and risk assessment.

