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Estimating self-performance when making complex decisions
Xiaping Lu1, Carsten Murawski2, Peter Bossaerts3
1Centre for Brain, Mind and Markets, Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia. xiapingl@student.unimelb.edu.au.
People
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Neuroscience
- Behavioral Economics
Background:
- Metacognition, the ability to monitor one's own mental states, is crucial for decision-making.
- Self-performance estimates (SPEs) are a key component of metacognition, particularly in complex tasks.
- Understanding how SPEs are formed in complex decisions is an under-researched area.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how task difficulty and feedback influence SPEs in complex economic decision-making.
- To compare metacognitive processes in complex economic decisions with those in simple perceptual decisions.
- To elucidate the mechanisms underlying SPE construction in cognitively demanding scenarios.
Main Methods:
- Participants engaged in cognitively complex economic decision-making and simple perceptual decision-making tasks.
- Task difficulty and the presence or absence of feedback were systematically varied.
- Objective performance and self-performance estimates (SPEs) were recorded and analyzed.
Main Results:
- Objective performance was influenced by task difficulty but not by feedback in both decision types.
- In complex economic decisions, SPEs were lower without feedback only in easy trials.
- In simple perceptual decisions, SPEs were lower without feedback in both easy and hard trials.
Conclusions:
- Metacognitive estimation of performance in complex economic decisions differs for easy and hard trials.
- Distinct metacognitive mechanisms appear to be employed for evaluating performance in varying task complexities.
- Feedback's impact on SPEs is contingent on both task complexity and difficulty.
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