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Optimizing fully-efficient two-stage models for genomic selection using open-source software.

Javier Fernández-González1, Julio Isidro Y Sánchez2

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|February 5, 2025
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Summary

Fully-efficient two-stage genomic selection models offer improved prediction accuracy, especially for augmented designs. Incorporating estimation error covariance into a random effect (Full_R model) enhances genetic gain in breeding programs.

Keywords:
Fully-efficientGenomic predictionGenomic selectionOpen-sourcePlant breedingTwo-stage modelsVariance-covarianceWeighted regression

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Area of Science:

  • Quantitative genetics
  • Plant and animal breeding

Background:

  • Genomic selection (GS) uses dense genetic markers to predict genomic breeding values (GEBV).
  • Single-stage models are computationally intensive, while two-stage models offer efficiency but often neglect error correlations.
  • Unweighted (UNW) two-stage models assume independent errors, potentially reducing prediction accuracy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the performance of fully-efficient two-stage genomic selection models.
  • To compare fully-efficient models against unweighted models, particularly for augmented experimental designs.
  • To investigate the impact of non-additive effects and experimental design on prediction accuracy.

Main Methods:

  • Developed and simulated fully-efficient two-stage models, including the Full_R model incorporating estimation error covariance.
  • Compared model performance using simulation studies across various scenarios and experimental designs (randomized complete block and augmented).
  • Assessed the influence of non-additive genetic effects on prediction accuracy.

Main Results:

  • Fully-efficient two-stage models performed similarly to UNW models in randomized complete block designs but substantially better in augmented designs.
  • Incorporating non-additive effects and augmented designs significantly improved prediction accuracy.
  • The Full_R model, which includes estimation error covariance as a random effect, demonstrated consistent performance and potential for increased genetic gain.

Conclusions:

  • Fully-efficient two-stage models, especially the Full_R model, are recommended for genomic selection due to improved accuracy and efficiency.
  • The synergy between experimental design and modeling strategy is crucial for maximizing prediction accuracy.
  • The study provides theoretical background and open-source R code to promote the adoption of fully-efficient models in breeding programs, potentially increasing genetic gain.