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Published on: January 23, 2017
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Deliberation during online bargaining reveals strategic information
Miruna Cotet1, Wenjia Joyce Zhao2, Ian Krajbich1,3,4
1Department of Psychology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210.
Summary
Response times (RT) in strategic decisions, like bargaining, reveal private information. Slower decisions on offers indicate their quality, but this information is less useful for rejections, impacting buyer behavior and extending the drift-diffusion model
Area of Science:
- Behavioral economics
- Game theory
- Computational neuroscience
Background:
- Game theory assumes preplanned strategies, but real-world decisions may involve on-the-spot comparisons.
- Response times (RT) in nonstrategic decisions correlate with option similarity, potentially revealing private information.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if RT in strategic bargaining reveals private information.
- To test if the drift-diffusion model (DDM) can explain slow, strategic decisions.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of preexisting and experimental bargaining data from eBay.
- Application of a drift-diffusion model (DDM) to decisions occurring over hours and days.
Main Results:
- Both buyers and sellers exhibit longer RTs for less favorable offers/rejections.
- Offer size causally affects RT, but this effect is weaker for rejections than acceptances.
- Buyers are less likely to counteroffer to sellers with slow rejection times.
- Experienced sellers are less cautious and more prone to accepting offers.
Conclusions:
- Strategic decisions are not always preplanned and RT can be a strategic variable.
- The DDM is applicable to slow decisions, expanding its use beyond seconds.
- Incorporating RT into game theory models is necessary for more accurate predictions.
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