Characterizing pharmacy deserts and designing a model to minimize inequities in pharmacy distribution in Virginia

Pharmacy closures have become increasingly prevalent in the United States in recent years. Previous literature highlights socioeconomic and racial disparities in the distribution of pharmacy deserts.

To identify and characterize pharmacy deserts in Virginia and to simulate potential locations to minimize inequities in pharmacy distribution.

This cross-sectional study used active pharmacy permits data from the Virginia Board of Pharmacy to identify census tracts considered pharmacy deserts by simultaneously satisfying 2 criteria: 1) low-income status (>20% residents living below the federal poverty line, or median household income <80% of a local comparator); and 2) low-access to pharmacies (distance >1, 5, or 10 miles for urban, suburban, and rural census tracts, respectively). Demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of desert vs. nondesert tracts were compared using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Locations within identified pharmacy deserts were randomly generated in 10,000 independent iterations.

Of 2198 census tracts, 51 were considered pharmacy deserts, and 69 met the low-access criterion only. Pharmacy deserts were significantly more common in urban census tracts (5.5%), followed by rural (2.9%), and suburban (0.1%). Compared to nondesert, pharmacy desert tracts had significantly lower percentage of residents under 18 year-old, greater percentage of Black residents, uninsured, with Medicare or Medicaid coverage only, lower median household income, and greater percentage of residents living in poverty. Through geospatial simulation, 44 locations were identified where adding pharmacy services could significantly improve access, each potentially benefiting over 10,000 individuals.

Fifty-one tracts in Virginia, primarily in urban areas, were considered pharmacy deserts. Compared to nondeserts, pharmacy desert status was associated with a lower proportion of residents under 18 year-old, greater proportion of Black and uninsured/publicly insured residents, and high poverty level, highlighting disparities in pharmacy access. Geospatial simulation identified several locations where placement of pharmacy services could benefit the largest number of residents living in desert tracts.