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modelSSE: An R Package for Characterizing Infectious Disease Superspreading from Contact Tracing Data
Shi Zhao1,2, Zihao Guo3,4, Kai Wang5
1School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, China. zhaoshi.cmsa@gmail.com.
Abstract:
Infectious disease superspreading is a phenomenon where few primary cases generate unexpectedly large numbers of secondary cases. Superspreading, is frequently documented in epidemiology literature, and is considered a consequence of heterogeneity in transmission. Since understanding the risks of superspreading became a rising concern from both statistical modelling and public health aspects, the R package modelSSE provides comprehensive analytical tools to characterize transmission heterogeneity. The package modelSSE integrates recent advances in statistical methods, such as decomposition of reproduction number, for modelling infectious disease superspreading using various types and sources of contact tracing data that allow models to be grounded in real-world observations. This study provided an overview of the theoretical background and implementation of modelSSE, designed to facilitate learning infectious disease transmission, and explore novel research questions for transmission risks and superspreading potentials. Detailed examples of classic, historical infectious disease datasets are given for demonstration and model extensions.
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