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Causality-Aware Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks for Spatiotemporal Time Series Imputation.

Baoyu Jing1, Dawei Zhou2, Kan Ren3

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|March 5, 2025
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces Casper, a novel method for spatiotemporal time series imputation that uses causality to avoid overfitting. Casper effectively imputes missing data by focusing on causal relationships, outperforming existing techniques.

Keywords:
Causal AttentionSpatiotemporal Graph Neural NetworkSpatiotemporal Time Series Imputation

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Area of Science:

  • Data Science
  • Machine Learning
  • Causal Inference

Background:

  • Spatiotemporal time series data often suffer from missing values due to sensor failures.
  • Existing imputation methods may overfit by using non-causal correlations introduced by confounders.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a causality-based approach for spatiotemporal time series imputation.
  • To develop a novel neural network model that accounts for causal relationships.

Main Methods:

  • Revisiting spatiotemporal imputation from a causal perspective using frontdoor adjustment.
  • Introducing the Causality-Aware Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Network (Casper) with a Prompt Based Decoder (PBD) and Spatiotemporal Causal Attention (SCA).

Main Results:

  • Casper effectively reduces the impact of confounders and identifies sparse causal relationships.
  • Theoretical analysis shows SCA discovers causal links via gradient values.
  • Experimental results demonstrate Casper's superior performance over baseline methods on real-world datasets.

Conclusions:

  • Casper provides an effective and robust solution for spatiotemporal time series imputation by leveraging causal inference.
  • The model successfully mitigates overfitting issues caused by non-causal correlations.