Decreased Life Expectancy in Patients with Acute and Chronic Pancreatitis

Population-based data on the life expectancy and mortality for acute (AP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP) in the United States are limited. This study evaluates the life expectancy, mortality rates and the cause of death in AP and CP patients.

Using the nationwide Veterans Administration database from 1999 to 2015, we identified AP and CP patients (using ICD-9 codes) and non-pancreatitis patients (controls). Age at the time of death was used as a surrogate indicator of life expectancy. Life expectancy in AP and CP patients was compared with the controls, using Cox-proportional hazards model. The mortality rates and cause of death for AP, CP, and controls were also assessed.

Overall, we selected 35,550 AP and 12,545 CP patients and 100,000 controls. The life expectancy was significantly lower for both AP (69 years) and CP (71 years) patients compared to the controls (81 years, p < 0.001). The risk of mortality was higher for AP (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.61, 95% CI 1.58-1.65, p < 0.001) and CP (aHR 1.64, 95% CI 1.59-1.68, p < 0.001) than in controls. Approximately forty-two percent of all patients died during the follow-up (AP-44.3%, CP-52.1% and controls-39.7%). Circulatory disorders, neoplasms, and respiratory disorders were the leading causes of death in AP and CP patients.

Acute and chronic pancreatitis are associated with decreased life span and higher mortality emphasizing their clinical importance. Although the deaths due to gastrointestinal/digestive system disorders were significantly higher, most of the deaths in AP and CP patients were primarily due to non-gastrointestinal causes.