Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 23, 2025

Synthesis of Cyclic Polymers and Characterization of Their Diffusive Motion in the Melt State at the Single Molecule Level
Published on: September 26, 2016
Global dynamics of a fractional order SIRS epidemic model by the way of generalized continuous time random walk
Zhaohua Wu1, Yongli Cai2, Zhiming Wang3
1School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, 223300, People's Republic of China.
Abstract:
In this paper, we propose a novel fractional-order SIRS (frSIRS) model incorporating infection forces under intervention strategies, developed through the framework of generalized continuous-time random walks. The model is first transformed into a system of Volterra integral equations to identify the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) state and the endemic equilibrium (EE) state. Additionally, we introduce a new method for calculating the basic reproduction number . Through several examples, we demonstrate the broad applicability of this method in determining for fractional-order epidemic models. Next, we establish that serves as a critical threshold governing the model's dynamics: if , the unique DFE is globally asymptotically stable; while if , the unique EE is globally asymptotically stable. Furthermore, we apply our findings to two fractional-order SIRS (frSIRS) models incorporating infection forces under various intervention strategies, thereby substantiating our results. From an epidemiological perspective, our analysis reveals several key insights for controlling disease spread: (i) when the death rate is high, it is essential to increase the memory index; (ii) when the recovery rate is high, decreasing the memory index is advisable; and (iii) enhancing psychological or inhibitory effects-factors independent of the death rate, recovery rate, or memory index-can also play a critical role in mitigating disease transmission. These findings offer valuable insights into how the memory index influences disease outbreaks and the overall severity of epidemics.
More Related Videos
10:46A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
12:21A Mouse Model for the Transition of Streptococcus pneumoniae from Colonizer to Pathogen upon Viral Co-Infection Recapitulates Age-Exacerbated Illness
Published on: September 28, 2022
Related Concept Videos
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
Parametric Survival Analysis: Weibull and Exponential Methods
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
Basic Continuous Time Signals
The unit step function, denoted u(t), is zero for negative time values and one for positive time values, exhibiting a discontinuity at t=0. This function often represents abrupt changes, such as the step voltage introduced when turning a car's...
Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test II
For binary data, runs are identified using symbols such as + and −, or equivalently, 1s and...
Basic Discrete Time Signals
The unit impulse or sample sequence is mathematically expressed as zero for all n values except at n=0, where it is one. The unit impulse sequence, denoted by δ(n), is the first difference of the unit step sequence, while the unit step sequence u(n) is...
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...