The impact of multi-modality fusion and deep learning on adult age estimation based on bone mineral density

Age estimation, especially in adults, presents substantial challenges in different contexts ranging from forensic to clinical applications. Bone mineral density (BMD), with its distinct age-related variations, has emerged as a critical marker in this domain. This study aims to enhance chronological age estimation accuracy using deep learning (DL) incorporating a multi-modality fusion strategy based on BMD.

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 4296 CT scans from a Chinese population, covering August 2015 to November 2022, encompassing lumbar, femur, and pubis modalities. Our DL approach, integrating multi-modality fusion, was applied to predict chronological age automatically. The model's performance was evaluated using an internal real-world clinical cohort of 644 scans (December 2022 to May 2023) and an external cadaver validation cohort of 351 scans.

In single-modality assessments, the lumbar modality excelled. However, multi-modality models demonstrated superior performance, evidenced by lower mean absolute errors (MAEs) and higher Pearson's R² values. The optimal multi-modality model exhibited outstanding R² values of 0.89 overall, 0.88 in females, 0.90 in males, with the MAEs of 4.05 overall, 3.69 in females, 4.33 in males in the internal validation cohort. In the external cadaver validation, the model maintained favourable R² values (0.84 overall, 0.89 in females, 0.82 in males) and MAEs (5.01 overall, 4.71 in females, 5.09 in males), highlighting its generalizability across diverse scenarios.

The integration of multi-modalities fusion with DL significantly refines the accuracy of adult age estimation based on BMD. The AI-based system that effectively combines multi-modalities BMD data, presenting a robust and innovative tool for accurate AAE, poised to significantly improve both geriatric diagnostics and forensic investigations.