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Navigating the precipice: Lessons on collapse from the Late Bronze Age.

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Summary
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The Late Bronze Age (LBA) collapse resulted from interconnected societies amplifying threats through their network structure. This systemic vulnerability offers lessons for understanding modern global challenges and societal complexity.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Archaeology
  • Network Science
  • Sociology

Background:

  • The Late Bronze Age (LBA) Eastern Mediterranean experienced widespread societal collapse around 1200 BCE.
  • Archaeological evidence reveals destroyed and abandoned urban centers across the region.
  • Previous research suggests a systemic failure rather than isolated incidents.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To test the hypothesis that LBA societal network structure amplified threats, causing a cascade of failures.
  • To analyze the role of interconnectedness in systemic collapse.
  • To draw parallels between LBA vulnerabilities and contemporary global challenges.

Main Methods:

  • Network analysis of Late Bronze Age societies.
  • Examination of archaeological data on city destruction and abandonment.
  • Comparative study of historical systemic collapse and modern global risks.

Main Results:

  • The study supports the hypothesis that the LBA network structure propagated problems, contributing to systemic collapse.
  • Interconnectedness, while facilitating prosperity, also amplified vulnerabilities.
  • The findings highlight how network dynamics can lead to cascading failures.

Conclusions:

  • The collapse of LBA societies was exacerbated by their interconnected network structure.
  • Understanding historical network vulnerabilities provides insights into current global systemic risks.
  • Modern complex systems may face similar risks as they approach carrying capacity.