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Updated: May 15, 2025

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
COVID-19 Vaccination and Cardiovascular Events: A Systematic Review and Bayesian Multivariate Meta-Analysis of
Raheleh Karimi1,2, Mina Norozirad3, Foad Esmaeili4
1Student Research Committee, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
Insights
COVID-19 vaccination was linked to an increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), especially after the second dose of BNT162b2. However, the third vaccine dose showed a protective effect against stroke and myocardial infarction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Immunology
- Public Health
Background:
- Investigating the association between COVID-19 vaccination and cardiovascular events is crucial for public health.
- A comprehensive strategy is needed to understand potential risks and benefits.
- Cardiovascular events include myocardial infarction, stroke, arrhythmia, and coronary artery disease (CAD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the association between COVID-19 vaccination and cardiovascular events.
- To apply a comprehensive strategy for understanding vaccine-related cardiovascular risks.
- To analyze data across multiple cardiovascular outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A Bayesian multivariate meta-analysis was conducted using summary data from fifteen studies.
- Eleven studies compared vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.
- Six studies specifically compared mRNA COVID-19 vaccines (Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna).
Main Results:
- A link was found between COVID-19 vaccination and increased CAD risk (OR, 1.70), particularly after the BNT162b2 vaccine's second dose (OR, 3.44).
- No increased risk of heart attack, arrhythmia, or stroke was observed following vaccination.
- The third vaccine dose demonstrated a protective effect against stroke (OR, 0.19) and myocardial infarction (OR, 0.003).
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 vaccination is associated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease, particularly with the BNT162b2 vaccine.
- The third vaccine dose may offer protective cardiovascular benefits.
- Future vaccine technologies should consider the association with coronary artery disease risk.
Background:
To provide a detailed understanding and apply a comprehensive strategy, this study examines the association between COVID-19 vaccination and cardiovascular events. We conducted a Bayesian multivariate meta-analysis using summary data across multiple outcomes including myocardial infarction, stroke, arrhythmia, and CAD, considering potential dependencies in the data. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods were detected for easy implementation of the Bayesian approach. Also, the sensitivity analysis of the model was done by using different priors.
Methods:
Fifteen studies were included in the systematic review, with eleven studies comparing the results between the vaccine group and the unvaccinated group. Additionally, six studies were used for further analysis to compare mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines (Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna).
Results:
Bayesian meta-analysis revealed a link between vaccines and CAD risk (OR, 1.70; 95% CrI: 1.11-2.57), particularly after BNT162b2 (OR, 1.64; 95% CrI: 1.06-2.55) and second dose (OR, 3.44; 95% CrI: 1.99-5.98). No increased risk of heart attack, arrhythmia, or stroke was observed post-COVID-19 vaccination. As the only noteworthy point, a protective effect on stroke (OR, 0.19; 95% CrI: 0.10-0.39) and myocardial infarction (OR, 0.003; 95% CrI: 0.001-0.006) was observed after the third dose of the vaccine.
Conclusions:
Secondary analysis showed no notable disparity in cardiovascular outcomes between BNT162b2 and mRNA vaccines. The association of COVID-19 vaccination with the risk of coronary artery disease should be considered in future vaccine technologies for the next pandemic.
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