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Power considerations for the win ratio: A rank-based simulation approach.
Lauren B Bonner1, Jody D Ciolino1, Keith S Kaye2
1Department of Preventive Medicine (Biostatistics and Informatics), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
A new simulation approach aids clinical trial design using the win ratio, a method for evaluating treatment efficacy. This flexible strategy helps determine sample size and statistical power, ensuring accurate study planning.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Clinical Trial Design
Background:
- The win ratio is an innovative statistical method for assessing clinical trial efficacy.
- Complexities like censoring, ties, and correlations complicate win ratio study design.
- Accurate sample size and statistical power are crucial for successful clinical trial planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a flexible, simulation-based approach for clinical trial design using the win ratio.
- To support accurate determination of sample size and statistical power in trials employing the win ratio.
Main Methods:
- A simulation-based strategy was developed, leveraging the link between the win ratio and rank distributions.
- The method was adapted to incorporate administrative censoring, ties, and correlations.
- A simulation study evaluated the approach's type I error and statistical power.
Main Results:
- The proposed approach effectively preserves type I error rates.
- Simulations confirmed the method samples according to the specified win ratio.
- The approach provides valuable guidance on statistical power relative to sample size.
- The `winratiopss` R package is available to implement this methodology.
Conclusions:
- This simulation strategy presents a novel and adaptable method for informing clinical trial designs that utilize win ratio analysis.
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