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Published on: November 22, 2024
Major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality after ischemic stroke in central Norway - A three-year
Ailan Phan1, Bent Indredavik2, Stian Lydersen3
1Department of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway.
Insights
Long-term stroke outcomes show a 15% incidence of major cardiovascular events and 18% mortality within three years. Reducing cardiac disease risk and stroke severity can improve survival for stroke patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease incidence has declined due to improved prevention and risk factor management.
- Updated long-term outcome data for first-ever ischemic stroke survivors are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality three years after a first-ever ischemic stroke.
- To evaluate the impact of modifiable cardiovascular and other prognostic factors on stroke outcomes.
Main Methods:
- The MIDNOR STROKE study prospectively enrolled 787 patients with first-ever ischemic stroke in Central Norway (2015-2017).
- Data collected during hospitalization were linked with national registries for three-year follow-up on major cardiovascular events and survival.
- Competing risk models, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox regression analyzed cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.
Main Results:
- The cumulative incidence of major cardiovascular events within three years was 15.0%, with recurrent stroke being most frequent.
- All-cause mortality rate was 18.0% at three years post-stroke.
- Coronary artery disease increased the risk of major vascular events (HR: 1.59) and death (HR: 1.66); NIHSS at day 1 predicted mortality (HR: 1.08).
Conclusions:
- Three-year survival post-stroke is higher than previously reported, but the risk of major cardiovascular events remains significant.
- Approximately 15% of stroke survivors experience major cardiovascular events within three years.
- Interventions targeting cardiac disease risk reduction and minimizing stroke severity are crucial for improving long-term stroke outcomes.
Background:
A substantial decline in the incidence of stroke and ischemic heart disease during the last decade is probably due to improved preventive treatment and a reduction in cardiovascular risk factors. Updated estimates on long-term outcomes following first-ever ischemic stroke are therefore limited.
Purpose:
To assess the incidence of major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality three years post-stroke, and to evaluate the impact of modifiable cardiovascular and other prognostic factors.
Methods:
MIDNOR STROKE is a multicenter prospective study including patients with first-ever ischemic stroke admitted to stroke units in Central Norway during 2015-2017. Data were collected during the hospital stay. Information on major cardiovascular events and survival three years post-stroke was retrieved from national medical registries. Competing risk models were used to analyze cardiovascular events. All-cause mortality was analyzed by using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression.
Results:
Among 787 included participants, the cumulative incidence of major cardiovascular events was 15.0 % (95 % CI: 12.0-17.0 %), with recurrent stroke as the most common event. The all-cause mortality rate was 18.0 % (95 % CI: 15.0-20.0 %). Coronary artery disease was associated with a higher risk of major vascular events HR: 1.59, 95 % CI: 1.06, 2.38) and all-cause death (HR: 1.66, 95 % CI: 1,11, 2.50). NIHSS at day 1 predicted all-cause mortality (HR: 1.08, 95 % CI: 1.05, 1.10).
Conclusion:
Three-year survival rates post-stroke were higher compared to previous reports; however, the risk of major cardiovascular events remains substantial, affecting 15 % of stroke survivors within three years. Reducing cardiac disease risk and interventions aimed at minimizing stroke severity may improve long-term stroke outcomes.
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