Estimating causal effects on psychological networks using item response theory
Joshua B Gilbert1, Benjamin W Domingue2, James S Kim1
1Graduate School of Education, Harvard University.
This study introduces a novel method linking Ising and item response theory (IRT) models to estimate causal effects on network structure. The findings reveal common causal effects on network strength, independent of network state, offering new insights for social and behavioral science interventions.
Area of Science:
- Psychometric research
- Network analysis
- Causal inference
Background:
- Network models offer an alternative to latent variable models in psychometrics.
- Confirmatory group network comparison faces computational challenges with large Ising models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate causal effects on network state and strength when direct network estimation is infeasible.
- To leverage mathematical equivalencies between Ising and item response theory (IRT) models.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a two-parameter logistic explanatory IRT model.
- Demonstrated method through simulation and application to empirical data from randomized controlled trials.
Main Results:
- The IRT model successfully recovered causal effects on both network state and strength.
- Causal effects on network strength were found to be common and uncorrelated with effects on network state.
Conclusions:
- Causal network models, estimated via IRT, provide valuable insights into intervention impacts.
- The method overcomes computational limitations of traditional Ising models for large networks.
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