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CMR-Based Risk Stratification for Adverse Outcomes in Chronic Ischemic Left Ventricular Aneurysm Patients
Kairui Bo1, Hui Wang1, Feifei Zhang2
1Department of Radiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China (K.B., H.W., S.S., Y.G., Z.Z., S.L., L.X.).
Insights
Predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in chronic ischemic left ventricular aneurysm (LVA) is crucial. Combining clinical data with cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging, especially left atrial strain (LA-εa), improves risk prediction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Predictive Analytics
Background:
- Chronic ischemic left ventricular aneurysm (LVA) carries a poor prognosis.
- Effective clinical tools for stratifying MACE risk in LVA patients are lacking.
- Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging offers potential for risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent risk factors for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with chronic ischemic LVA.
- To develop a predictive model integrating clinical and CMR features.
- To evaluate the added value of left atrial strain (LA-εa) in risk prediction.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 243 patients with chronic ischemic LVA from a cohort of 1825 myocardial infarction patients.
- Univariate and multivariate Cox regression, including LASSO, to identify MACE predictors.
- Construction of a predictive nomogram incorporating significant clinical and CMR variables.
Main Results:
- 82 (33.7%) patients experienced MACEs over a median 2.6-year follow-up.
- Independent predictors included age, NYHA class, LVA diameter, LGE extent, and LA-εa.
- LA-εa significantly improved model discrimination and reclassification (p<0.001).
Conclusions:
- A predictive model integrating clinical data and CMR biomarkers effectively identifies MACE risk in LVA.
- Left atrial strain (LA-εa) is a significant independent predictor of adverse outcomes.
- This model enhances risk stratification for patients with chronic ischemic LVA.
Rationale And Objectives:
Chronic ischemic left ventricular aneurysm (LVA) indicates poor prognosis, yet clinically effective predictive tools for risk stratification are lacking. This study aims to explore the independent risk factors for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with chronic ischemic LVA, based on clinical data and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging features.
Methods:
From 1825 patients with myocardial infarction, a total of 243 patients with chronic ischemic LVA were enrolled in this study. Predictors of MACEs were identified using univariate Cox regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors and construct a nomogram.
Results:
Over a median follow-up period of 2.6 years, 82 (33.7%) patients experienced MACEs. Independent predictors incorporated into the predictive model were age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.03, p=0.014], New York Heart Association class (HR 1.04, p=0.001), LVA maximum transverse diameter (HR 1.02, p=0.020), extent of late gadolinium enhancement (HR 1.03, p=0.020), and left atrial booster strain (LA-εa; HR 0.84, p<0.001). Incorporating LA-εa significantly improved model discrimination (ΔC-index = 0.037, p<0.001) and reclassification (integrated discrimination improvement=0.100, net reclassification improvement=0.357, all p<0.001).
Conclusion:
The integration of clinical and CMR biomarkers, particularly LA-εa, is effective for predicting adverse outcomes in patients with chronic ischemic LVA.
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