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Biodiversity-Climate-Society Nexus assessment through Participatory System Dynamics Model. The case study of Amazon
Stefania Santoro1, Alessandro Pagano2, Wendy Francesconi3
1National Research Council, Water Research Institute (CNR-IRSA), Bari, Italy.
The Biodiversity-Climate-Society (BCS) Nexus integrates social, ecological, and climate factors. A new Participatory System Dynamics Model (PSDM) analyzes complex interactions, revealing threats to ecosystem services and Indigenous communities from deforestation.
Area of Science:
- Environmental science
- Social science
- Climate science
Background:
- The Biodiversity-Climate-Society (BCS) Nexus requires integrated approaches to address global challenges.
- Complex feedback loops and multi-scale interactions necessitate innovative analytical tools.
- Existing methods often lack integration of local contexts and socio-political dimensions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present a methodological framework for analyzing the BCS Nexus.
- To integrate local knowledge, Ecosystem Services (ES), and value chain impacts into analysis.
- To assess the impacts of forest cover changes on ecosystem services and communities.
Main Methods:
- Development and application of a Participatory System Dynamics Model (PSDM).
- Integration of local community knowledge and stakeholder input.
- Analysis of Rondônia's forest-based value chain and its environmental and social impacts.
Main Results:
- The PSDM effectively maps complex interactions within the BCS Nexus.
- Deforestation and unsustainable practices in Rondônia threaten vital ecosystem services.
- Indigenous communities are particularly vulnerable to these ecosystem service disruptions.
Conclusions:
- The PSDM offers a valuable tool for understanding and managing the BCS Nexus.
- Participatory approaches foster shared knowledge and dialogue for transformative change.
- Addressing Nexus challenges requires integrating ecological, social, and climate considerations.
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