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Smart Wearable Analytics for Cycling: AI-Based Physical Exertion Prediction
Aref Smiley1, Joseph Finkelstein1
1Department of Biomedical Informatics, The University of Utah, SLC, UT, USA.
Studies in Health Technology and Informatics
|July 1, 2025
Summary
Deep learning accurately predicts perceived exertion during cycling using physiological data. An LSTM with Multi-Head Attention model effectively forecasts exertion levels, aiding in exercise monitoring.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Biomedical Engineering
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Accurate monitoring of exercise intensity is crucial for optimizing training and preventing overexertion.
- Physiological signals and performance metrics offer potential for real-time exertion assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate deep learning models, specifically LSTM with Multi-Head Attention, for predicting Rating of Perceived Exertion (RPE).
- To identify key physiological and performance predictors of exertion during cycling exercise.
Main Methods:
- Collected heart rate, oxygen saturation, pedal speed (RPM), and ECG-derived HRV features from 27 participants during cycling.
- Utilized an LSTM with Multi-Head Attention model for both regression and classification (high/low exertion) of RPE.
- Employed Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance (MRMR) and Univariate Feature Ranking (UFR) for feature selection.
Main Results:
- The LSTM model achieved an R2 of 0.54 for regression and 82.9% accuracy with an 86.3% F1 score for classification.
- Key predictors included physiological features and RPM, highlighting their importance in exertion estimation.
Conclusions:
- Deep learning, particularly LSTM with Multi-Head Attention, demonstrates significant effectiveness in predicting perceived exertion during exercise.
- The findings support the use of physiological data and advanced machine learning for objective exercise intensity monitoring.

