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Updated: Sep 17, 2025

Evaluation of Colorectal Cancer Risk and Prevalence by Stool DNA Integrity Detection
Published on: June 8, 2020
Refining the Feasibility of Machine-Learning-Based Diagnostic Model Utilizing Gut Microbiota Analysis for Colorectal
Shintaro Okumura1,2, Yusuke Konishi1, Taku Kitano1,2
1Research Institute for Microbial Diseases (RIMD), Osaka University, Suita, Japan.
A machine learning gut microbiota model (ml-GMM) shows reproducible accuracy for colorectal cancer (CRC) detection. Combining ml-GMM with fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) may improve CRC detection rates compared to FIT alone.
Area of Science:
- Microbiome research
- Cancer diagnostics
- Machine learning applications
Background:
- A novel colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnostic model was previously developed using machine learning and gut microbiota analysis.
- This study assesses the reproducibility and comparative diagnostic accuracy of this gut microbiota model against the fecal immunochemical test (FIT).
- The practical application potential of the gut microbiota model was also investigated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the reproducibility of a machine learning-based gut microbiota diagnostic model for colorectal cancer (CRC).
- To compare the diagnostic accuracy of the gut microbiota model with the fecal immunochemical test (FIT).
- To explore the potential synergistic effect of combining the gut microbiota model with FIT for enhanced CRC detection.
Main Methods:
- Fecal samples were collected from CRC patients and healthy individuals (HI) who had undergone FIT.
- Gut microbiota analysis was conducted using a standardized pipeline.
- Diagnosis was performed using the machine-learning-based gut microbiota model (ml-GMM) and FIT, with consistent cut-off values.
Main Results:
- The machine learning-based gut microbiota model (ml-GMM) demonstrated reproducible diagnostic accuracy.
- True positive rates were 53.1% for ml-GMM and 86.4% for FIT in 81 CRC patients; false positive rates were 7.3% for ml-GMM and 2.4% for 245 HI.
- Combining ml-GMM and FIT achieved a 91.4% positivity rate in CRC patients across all stages, with a 9.4% rate in HI, suggesting a synergistic effect.
Conclusions:
- The diagnostic accuracy of the machine learning-based gut microbiota model (ml-GMM) for colorectal cancer is reproducible.
- Combining ml-GMM with FIT shows potential for detecting more colorectal cancer patients than FIT alone.
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