Novel biomarker panel combined with imaging parameters for predicting cardiovascular complications in diabetic

Jiaxing Guo1, Zhongchen Zhang2

  • 1Internal Medicine Department, Shandong University Hospital, Jinan, No.91 Shanda North Road, 250100, Shandong Province, China.

PubMed

Insights

A new multimodal model combining biomarkers and imaging significantly improves cardiovascular risk prediction in diabetes patients. This approach offers better clinical utility than existing methods for identifying high-risk individuals.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Endocrinology
  • Biomarkers and Imaging

Background:

  • Diabetes mellitus (DM) patients have a high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD).
  • Current risk tools are suboptimal for diabetic populations.
  • Novel approaches are needed to improve CVD risk prediction in DM.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a multimodal diagnostic model for predicting cardiovascular complications in diabetic patients.
  • Integrate novel biomarkers (sST2, GDF-15) with imaging parameters (coronary artery calcium score [CACS], carotid plaque characteristics).
  • Evaluate the clinical utility of this integrated model.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of 600 adults with type 2 diabetes.
  • Collected laboratory biomarkers (sST2, GDF-15, HbA1c), imaging parameters (CACS, carotid plaque ulceration), and clinical data.
  • Used LASSO regression for predictor selection and logistic regression for model construction, validated with ROC, NRI, IDI, and DCA.

Main Results:

  • The final model included sST2, GDF-15, CACS, ulcerated carotid plaques, HbA1c, and SGLT2i use.
  • The multimodal model achieved an AUC of 0.811, outperforming biomarker-only (0.774) and imaging-only (0.735) models.
  • Demonstrated significant improvements in reclassification (NRI=0.52) and discrimination (IDI=0.09) with superior clinical net benefit.

Conclusions:

  • Integrating biomarkers and imaging parameters significantly enhances cardiovascular risk prediction in diabetic patients.
  • The developed multimodal model offers improved clinical utility for risk stratification.
  • Further multicenter prospective studies are recommended to confirm generalizability and cost-effectiveness.
Abstract

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