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Published on: June 2, 2015
Nomogram Prediction Model for Deep Venous Thrombosis in Traumatic Cervical Spinal Cord Injury Patients During
Haifeng Wu1, Jiyuan Ni2, Huixian Sun2
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shijiazhuang, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China.
Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) risk factors in traumatic cervical spinal cord injury (SCI) patients were identified. A nomogram model using these factors shows strong predictive performance for DVT risk during hospitalization.
Area of Science:
- Medical research
- Clinical diagnostics
- Thrombosis studies
Background:
- Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is a significant complication in patients with traumatic cervical spinal cord injury (SCI).
- Identifying risk factors is crucial for timely prevention and management during hospitalization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent risk factors for DVT in patients with traumatic cervical SCI.
- To develop and validate a predictive nomogram model for DVT risk in this population.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 580 patients with traumatic cervical SCI was analyzed.
- Logistic regression identified independent risk factors, including American Spinal Cord Injury Association grade, combined craniocerebral injury, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and D-dimer.
- A nomogram model was constructed and validated using ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.
Main Results:
- The American Spinal Cord Injury Association grade, combined craniocerebral injury, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and D-dimer were identified as independent risk factors for DVT.
- The nomogram demonstrated good predictive ability with an area under the ROC curve of 0.808 in the training cohort and 0.785 in the validation cohort.
- The model showed excellent accuracy and clinical effectiveness.
Conclusions:
- The identified factors are significant predictors of DVT in hospitalized patients with traumatic cervical SCI.
- The developed nomogram model offers a robust tool for assessing DVT risk in this vulnerable patient group.
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