Development and validation of an AMR-based predictive model for post-PCI contrast-induced nephropathy in patients

Zhaokai Wang1, Shuping Yang2, Cheng Li1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China.

Insights

This study developed a nomogram using angiography-derived microcirculatory resistance index (AMR) to predict contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing PCI. The nomogram demonstrated good predictive accuracy, aiding clinical decision-making.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Nephrology
  • Medical Imaging

Background:

  • Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a risk following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
  • Predictive tools for CIN in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients are crucial for optimizing treatment.
  • Angiography-derived microcirculatory resistance index (AMR) has potential as a predictive biomarker.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting CIN probability after PCI in STEMI patients.
  • To utilize AMR as a key component in the predictive model.
  • To assess the clinical utility of the developed nomogram.

Main Methods:

  • Development and validation of a nomogram using logistic regression and LASSO analysis.
  • Inclusion of 595 STEMI patients in the training cohort and 256 in the validation cohort.
  • Performance evaluation using AUC-ROC, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Main Results:

  • Multifactorial logistic regression identified eGFR, AMR, UHR, TyG index, and contrast agent dosage as independent predictors of CIN.
  • The nomogram achieved good predictive performance in both training (AUC: 0.881) and validation (AUC: 0.841) cohorts.
  • Calibration plots and DCA confirmed the nomogram's accuracy and clinical feasibility.

Conclusions:

  • The developed AMR-based nomogram accurately predicts CIN risk in STEMI patients undergoing PCI.
  • This tool can assist clinicians in optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient prognosis.
  • The nomogram offers a valuable approach for personalized risk assessment and management of CIN.
Abstract

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