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Assessing methods for estimating microbial lag phase duration: a comparative analysis using Saccharomyces cerevisiae
Monika Opalek1, Dominika Wloch-Salamon1, Bogna J Smug2
1Institute of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Jagiellonian University, 31-007 Krakow, Poland.
FEMS Yeast Research
|July 11, 2025
Summary
Estimating microbial lag phase duration is challenging. Model-fitting methods perform best, especially with noisy data, infrequent measurements, or low growth rates.
Area of Science:
- Microbiology
- Biotechnology
- Mathematical Biology
Background:
- The lag phase is a critical but challenging period in microbial growth dynamics.
- Accurate estimation of lag phase duration is essential for understanding microbial adaptation and optimizing bioprocesses.
- Existing methods for lag phase estimation often rely on different assumptions about cellular behavior.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of common lag phase estimation methods.
- To identify factors influencing the accuracy and reliability of lag phase duration estimates.
- To provide guidance on selecting appropriate methods based on experimental conditions and data quality.
Main Methods:
- Utilized empirical and simulated microbial growth datasets.
- Simulated growth curves with variations in growth rate, noise level, and measurement frequency.
- Applied and compared several common lag phase estimation techniques.
- Analyzed the bias and variance of lag estimates under different conditions.
Main Results:
- Infrequent measurements, low growth rates, extended lag phases, and high noise levels increase bias and variance in lag estimation.
- Model-fitting methods demonstrated superior performance, particularly when dealing with noisy experimental data.
- The choice of estimation method significantly impacts the accuracy of lag phase duration determination.
Conclusions:
- The accuracy of microbial lag phase estimation is highly sensitive to experimental parameters and data quality.
- Model-fitting approaches offer a more robust solution for lag phase determination, especially in the presence of noise.
- Careful consideration of method selection is crucial for reliable microbial growth analysis.

