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A Novel Cooperative AI-Based Fall Risk Prediction Model for Older Adults.

Deepika Mohan1, Peter Han Joo Chong1, Jairo Gutierrez2

  • 1Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland 1010, New Zealand.

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Summary

This study introduces a cooperative artificial intelligence (AI) model for predicting elderly falls using vital signs and daily activities. The AI system achieved high accuracy, enhancing safety and preventive care for older adults.

Keywords:
ADLsdeep belief networksfall risk predictionfuzzy logicmeta-modelrandom forestvital signs

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Area of Science:

  • Gerontology
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Health Informatics

Background:

  • Older adults are significant users of healthcare services and are vulnerable to falls.
  • There is a need for cost-effective e-health technologies to support independent living for seniors.
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) show potential for fall prediction and health monitoring.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce a novel cooperative AI model for forecasting fall risk in the elderly.
  • To combine predictions from two AI models for enhanced accuracy.
  • To improve preventive care and well-being for older adults.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a cooperative AI model integrating two distinct AI predictors.
  • AI1 model utilized Fuzzy Logic based on vital signs.
  • AI2 model employed a Deep Belief Network (DBN) analyzing Activities of Daily Living (ADLs).
  • A meta-model combined outputs for a comprehensive fall risk prediction.

Main Results:

  • The cooperative AI model demonstrated 85.71% sensitivity.
  • Achieved 100% specificity in fall risk prediction.
  • Reported 90.00% overall prediction accuracy compared to the Morse Falls Scale (MFS).

Conclusions:

  • Deep learning-based cooperative systems can significantly improve the well-being of older adults living alone.
  • The proposed model offers a more precise method for fall risk assessment.
  • Enhanced fall risk assessment facilitates improved preventive care strategies for the elderly.