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A machine learning pipeline for efficient differentiation between bipolar and major depressive disorder based on
Federico Calesella1,2, Federica Colombo1,2, Beatrice Bravi1,2
1Psychiatry and Clinical Psychobiology Unit, Division of Neuroscience, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milano, Italy.
Distinguishing bipolar disorder (BD) from major depressive disorder (MDD) is challenging due to similar symptoms. This study used neuroimaging and machine learning to identify biomarkers, achieving high accuracy in differentiating between BD and MDD patients.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimaging
- Machine Learning
- Psychiatry
Background:
- Major depressive disorder (MDD) and bipolar disorder (BD) share overlapping depressive symptoms, leading to frequent misdiagnosis.
- Approximately 60% of bipolar disorder patients are initially misdiagnosed as having MDD.
- Reliable biomarkers are needed to support accurate diagnosis and treatment of these conditions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To optimize a machine learning pipeline for differentiating between depressed patients with bipolar disorder (BD) and major depressive disorder (MDD).
- To investigate the utility of multimodal structural neuroimaging features as biomarkers for distinguishing BD from MDD.
Main Methods:
- Acquired Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) and T1-weighted MRI data from 282 patients (180 BD, 102 MDD).
- Preprocessed images to extract DTI metrics (AD, RD, MD, FA) and Voxel-Based Morphometry (VBM) data.
- Utilized a 5-fold nested cross-validated pipeline with confound regression, standardization, PCA, and elastic-net regression for classification.
Main Results:
- DTI-based models achieved classification accuracies of 75-78%, significantly above chance.
- The VBM model showed a classification accuracy of 61%.
- Widespread structural differences, including white matter microstructure (higher AD, FA in BD) and grey matter volumes, drove the classification.
Conclusions:
- Structural neuroimaging features, particularly white matter integrity and grey matter volumes, can effectively differentiate between MDD and BD patients.
- The developed machine learning pipeline demonstrates good predictive accuracy for distinguishing these disorders.
- Neuroimaging biomarkers hold promise for improving the diagnostic accuracy of bipolar disorder and major depressive disorder.
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