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Optimising crown-of-thorns starfish control effort on the Great Barrier Reef
Kanupriya Agarwal1,2, Michael Bode1,3, Kate J Helmstedt1,2,3
1School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
Plos One
|July 15, 2025
Summary
Targeting crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS) outbreaks at their source is key for Great Barrier Reef protection. Focusing control efforts spatially maximizes coral cover, crucial for reef resilience against climate change.
Area of Science:
- Marine biology
- Ecology
- Conservation science
Background:
- Crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS) outbreaks cause significant coral loss on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR).
- Climate change exacerbates disturbances like cyclones and coral bleaching, increasing the need for effective COTS management.
- Manual culling is a primary method for controlling COTS populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of spatial control strategies for COTS on coral cover.
- To determine optimal COTS culling strategies considering larval dispersal and connectivity.
Main Methods:
- A metapopulation model was developed, integrating predator-prey dynamics, larval dispersal, and starfish removal.
- Simulations compared different spatial control strategies for COTS outbreaks.
Main Results:
- Targeting COTS outbreaks at their source, particularly between Cairns and Cooktown, is the most effective strategy.
- Expanding control efforts spatially protects a larger area but reduces overall coral cover on the GBR.
- Spatial control strategies significantly influence the effectiveness of COTS management.
Conclusions:
- Strategic spatial targeting of COTS control, informed by larval connectivity, enhances management efficiency.
- Optimized COTS management is vital for GBR resilience amid escalating climate change pressures.
- Efficient reef management practices are crucial for the long-term health of the Great Barrier Reef.
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