Predictive value of IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α, and vaginal pH in diagnosing vaginal microbial infections: A...

Microbial-associated vaginal infections are common among women of reproductive age and are linked to alterations in the local immune environment. Inflammatory biomarkers such as IL-6, IL-β, and TNF-α, along with vaginal pH have emerged as potential indicators of microbial dysbiosis. This study aimed to statistically evaluate the ability of these specific inflammatory cytokines and vaginal pH to identify infection status. Cytokine concentrations and vaginal pH were measured in clinically characterized samples. The group differences were analyzed using Mann-Whitney U tests and Cliff's Delta for effect size. ROC-AUC analysis was also performed to assess the discriminative power, and correlation heatmaps explored marker synergy. The infected individuals showed increased levels of all cytokines (p < 0.001), with large effect size (Δ > 0.9 for IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α). Vaginal pH also differed significantly (Δ = 0.60). In addition, the combination of IL-6 and vaginal pH achieved excellent discriminative performance (AUC = 0.98). These findings suggest that IL-6, IL-1β, and TNF-α, when combined with vaginal pH, can function as reliable non-invasive biomarkers for the early detection and improved diagnostic triaging of vaginal microbial infections.