[Land Use Scenario Simulation and Habitat Quality Change in Pinglu River Economic Belt Based on PLUS-InVEST Model]

Area of Science:

• Ecological modeling and spatial analysis
• Land use change dynamics
• Habitat quality assessment

Context:

• The Pinglu Canal Economic Belt faces challenges in balancing development and environmental sustainability.
• Understanding spatiotemporal habitat quality is vital for regional planning.
• Historical land use data from 2000-2020 provides a baseline for future projections.

Purpose:

• To explore the spatiotemporal characteristics of habitat quality in the Pinglu Canal Economic Belt.
• To identify the key factors influencing habitat quality changes.
• To predict future habitat quality under different development scenarios (Natural Development Scenario, Ecological Protection Scenario, Planning for the Pinglu Canal Scenario).

Summary:

• Land use analysis revealed a consistent expansion of construction land and a decline in other land uses between 2000 and 2020.
• Habitat quality degradation was observed, particularly in urban areas, with projections indicating continued decline under the Natural Development Scenario.
• The Ecological Protection Scenario demonstrated a significant potential for habitat quality improvement, while the Planning for the Pinglu Canal Scenario showed mixed results.
• Slope was identified as the primary factor influencing habitat quality, with significant interactions with other spatial variables.

Impact:

• Findings provide crucial insights for sustainable development strategies in the Pinglu Canal Economic Belt.
• The study emphasizes the need to control construction land expansion and protect high-quality ecological land.
• Results inform future planning and construction to mitigate habitat degradation and promote ecological well-being.