CT-Based Habitat Radiomics Combining Multi-Instance Learning for Early Prediction of Post-Neoadjuvant Lymph Node...

Early prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) following neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is crucial for timely treatment optimization in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study developed and validated a computed tomography-based radiomic model for predicting pathologically confirmed LNM status at the time of surgery in ESCC patients after NAT. A total of 469 ESCC patients from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were retrospectively enrolled and randomized into a training cohort (n = 328) and a test cohort (n = 141). Three signatures were constructed: the tumor-habitat-based signature (Habitat_Rad), derived from radiomic features of three tumor subregions identified via K-means clustering; the multiple instance learning-based signature (MIL_Rad), combining features from 2.5D deep learning models; and the clinicoradiological signature (Clinic), developed through multivariate logistic regression. A combined radiomic nomogram integrating these signatures outperformed the individual models, achieving areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.929 (95% CI, 0.901-0.957) and 0.852 (95% CI, 0.778-0.925) in the training and test cohorts, respectively. The decision curve analysis confirmed a high net clinical benefit, highlighting the nomogram's potential for accurate LNM prediction after NAT and guiding individualized therapy.