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Updated: Sep 9, 2025

Multidisciplinary Approach to Obesity Management: A Case Report
Published on: May 30, 2025
Cardiovascular and kidney outcomes of GLP-1 receptor agonists in adults with obesity: A target trial emulation study
Huilin Tang1,2, Yiwen Lu1,3, Bingyu Zhang1,3
1The Center for Health AI and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Aims:
Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) provide cardiovascular and renal benefits in type 2 diabetes, but their real-world effects in individuals with obesity without diabetes are unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the cardiovascular and kidney outcomes of GLP-1RAs versus other anti-obesity medications (AOMs) in adults with obesity.
Materials And Methods:
This target trial emulation used TriNetX electronic health records (July 2021-May 2025) to identify adults with obesity and no diabetes history who initiated GLP-1RAs (liraglutide, semaglutide, or tirzepatide) or other AOMs. Outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), major adverse kidney events (MAKE), all-cause mortality, mental health conditions, and safety outcomes. Propensity score matching (1:1) balanced baseline characteristics; Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Results:
The study included 140 169 matched pairs of GLP-1RA and AOM initiators. Mean follow-up was 392 days for GLP-1RA users and 564 days for AOM users. Compared to AOMs, GLP-1RA use was associated with lower risks of MACE (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.72-0.81), MAKE (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.55-0.74), and all-cause mortality (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.42-0.57). Mental health outcomes also improved, with reduced risks of depression (HR, 0.63), suicidal ideation/attempt (HR, 0.42), and substance use disorder (HR, 0.58). GLP-1RAs were not associated with increased risks of acute pancreatitis (HR, 1.17), hypoglycemia (HR, 1.08), or gastrointestinal symptoms (HR, 0.99).
Conclusions:
Among adults with obesity but without diabetes, GLP-1RA use was associated with reduced cardiovascular, kidney, mortality, and mental health risks compared to other AOMs.
Insights
Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) significantly reduced cardiovascular, kidney, and mortality risks in adults with obesity but no diabetes, compared to other anti-obesity medications (AOMs). Mental health also improved with GLP-1RA use.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are known for cardiovascular and renal benefits in type 2 diabetes.
- Real-world data on GLP-1RA effects in individuals with obesity but without diabetes are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cardiovascular and kidney outcomes associated with GLP-1RAs compared to other anti-obesity medications (AOMs).
- To assess the impact of GLP-1RAs on mortality, mental health, and safety in adults with obesity and no history of diabetes.
Main Methods:
- A target trial emulation study using TriNetX electronic health records from July 2021 to May 2025.
- Inclusion of adults with obesity and no diabetes history who initiated GLP-1RAs (liraglutide, semaglutide, tirzepatide) or other AOMs.
- Propensity score matching (1:1) and Cox models to analyze outcomes including MACE, MAKE, mortality, mental health conditions, and safety events.
Main Results:
- Over 140,000 matched pairs showed GLP-1RA use was linked to lower risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (HR 0.76) and major adverse kidney events (MAKE) (HR 0.64).
- GLP-1RA initiators had significantly reduced all-cause mortality (HR 0.49) and improved mental health outcomes, including depression and suicidal ideation.
- No increased risks for acute pancreatitis, hypoglycemia, or gastrointestinal symptoms were observed with GLP-1RAs.
Conclusions:
- In adults with obesity but no diabetes, GLP-1RAs demonstrated significant benefits in reducing cardiovascular, kidney, and mortality risks compared to other AOMs.
- GLP-1RAs also showed a positive impact on mental health outcomes in this population.
- The findings support the use of GLP-1RAs for comprehensive health benefits beyond weight management in non-diabetic obese individuals.
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