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A Machine Learning and Bayesian Belief Network Approach to Predicting Cervical Cancer Risk: Implications for Risk

Khaled Toffaha1, Mecit Can Emre Simsekler1, Andrei Sleptchenko1

  • 1Department of Management Science & Engineering, Khalifa University of Science & Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Journal of Multidisciplinary Healthcare
|September 2, 2025
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a predictive framework using machine learning (ML) and Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) for cervical cancer risk stratification and early detection, achieving high accuracy.

Keywords:
Bayesian belief networkcancer risk factorscervical cancer risk predictiondigital healthfuture of healthcaremachine learningpatient safetyrisk management

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Oncology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Digital Health

Background:

  • Cervical cancer poses a significant global health burden, requiring improved risk stratification and early detection methods.
  • Existing predictive models often struggle with data complexities like missing values and class imbalance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a comprehensive predictive framework for cervical cancer using machine learning (ML) and Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs).
  • To enhance early detection and risk stratification for cervical cancer through advanced computational approaches.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a cohort of 858 patients.
  • Integration of data science techniques including multiple imputation, feature selection, and imbalance mitigation.
  • Application of ML algorithms and BBNs, specifically Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART).

Main Results:

  • The combined ML model achieved 95.6% accuracy, 0.958 AUROC, and 0.945 F1-score.
  • The BBN model demonstrated 91.3% sensitivity and 86.8% specificity.
  • The framework showed high predictive performance across various cervical cancer screening tests.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed framework demonstrates technical efficacy for cervical cancer prediction.
  • The study highlights the potential for integrating AI and ML into clinical decision-support systems.
  • Interdisciplinary collaboration is crucial for developing effective AI healthcare solutions and advancing precision medicine.