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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
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Evaluation and detection of climate trend via innovative methods
Mehrnoush Kohandel Gargari1, Veysi Kartal2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Cyprus International University, Nicosia, Northern Cyprus.
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
|September 2, 2025
Summary
Drought monitoring in Adıyaman, Türkiye, reveals increasing temperatures and fluctuating precipitation trends. This analysis using Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) aids water resource planning.
Area of Science:
- Climatology and Hydrology
- Environmental Science
- Water Resource Management
Background:
- Drought poses significant economic, human, and environmental risks.
- Continuous monitoring of drought variability is crucial for effective water resource management and risk reduction.
- Understanding temporal and spatial drought patterns informs policy development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze drought conditions in Adıyaman, Türkiye, using Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).
- To investigate temporal fluctuations in drought, temperature, and precipitation using advanced trend analysis methods.
- To provide insights for regional water management and resource planning.
Main Methods:
- Calculation of SPEI and SPI for short (1- and 3-month) and long (12-month) periods using historical data (1963-2022).
- Application of Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), IV-ITA star, and Star-IPTA approaches for trend detection.
- Analysis of precipitation and temperature data to identify drought and climate variability trends.
Main Results:
- Trend variation between arid and wet conditions diminished with increasing time scales.
- Increasing trends were observed for summer and winter SPI-3, though ITA trends were similar for 3-month scales.
- A consistent upward trend in temperature was detected across all analytical approaches.
Conclusions:
- The study highlights significant changes in regional drought conditions and temperature patterns.
- Findings offer valuable data for improving drought risk assessment and water resource management strategies in Adıyaman.
- Long-term monitoring and advanced trend analysis are essential for understanding and mitigating drought impacts.
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