How to study the menstrual cycle as a continuous variable: Implementing phase-aligned cycle time scaling (PACTS) with
Anisha Nagpal1, Katja M Schmalenberger1, Jordan C Barone1
1Department of Psychiatry, University of Illinois Chicago, United States.
Psychoneuroendocrinology
|September 3, 2025
Summary
We developed Phase-Aligned Cycle Time Scaling (PACTS) to create a continuous menstrual cycle timeline, improving hormonal dynamics alignment and statistical power for better research outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive endocrinology
- Chronobiology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Current menstrual cycle phase and count methods oversimplify hormonal dynamics.
- Individual variability in ovulation timing is often overlooked, reducing statistical power.
- A need exists for a continuous timeline to better represent menstrual cycle hormonal fluctuations.
Purpose of the Study:
- Introduce Phase-Aligned Cycle Time Scaling (PACTS) and the `menstrualcycleR` R package.
- Provide a reproducible method for generating continuous time variables anchored to menses and ovulation.
- Improve the alignment of hormonal dynamics across individuals and cycles.
Main Methods:
- Developed PACTS to generate continuous time variables.
- Utilized daily urinary hormone data from 44 cycles.
- Anchored continuous time to menses and ovulation, accommodating variable cycle lengths and ovulation detection methods.
Main Results:
- PACTS demonstrated improved alignment and estimation of estradiol (E2) and progesterone (P4) trajectories compared to traditional methods.
- The PACTS approach enhances cycle effect estimation within and across studies.
- Generated variables support hierarchical nonlinear models for high-resolution analysis.
Conclusions:
- PACTS and `menstrualcycleR` offer a reproducible framework for precise menstrual cycle research.
- This method improves the interpretability of hormonal dynamics and cyclical outcomes.
- Future applications may enhance diagnostic accuracy for conditions like PMDD and menstrual migraine.
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