Soluble immune checkpoint factors reveal high-risk osteosarcoma subtypes and enable early metastasis prediction

Hanqi Peng1, Binghao Li2,3, Jiameng Cui1

  • 1Center of Clinical Big Data and Analytics of the Second Affiliated Hospital and School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

Frontiers in Immunology
|September 18, 2025
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

New immune checkpoint biomarkers in blood show promise for predicting osteosarcoma metastasis. These findings could lead to better immunotherapies for this rare bone cancer.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology and Immunology
  • Molecular Diagnostics and osteosarcoma metastasis prediction
  • Bioinformatics and Proteomics

Background:

Osteosarcoma represents the most prevalent primary malignant bone tumor, yet therapeutic progress for patients with metastatic disease has stagnated over recent decades. Prior research has shown that the clinical efficacy of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) and its ligand (PD-L1) inhibitors remains disappointingly low in this specific malignancy. The complex immunological landscape of bone tumors necessitates the identification of alternative regulatory pathways that contribute to tumor evasion and systemic dissemination. Current diagnostic protocols rely heavily on invasive biopsies and imaging, which may not capture the dynamic molecular changes occurring during early metastatic progression. There is a significant requirement for non-invasive, blood-based biomarkers that can accurately stratify patients according to their individual risk of developing secondary lesions. Scientists must identify novel targets to improve the survival rates of individuals suffering from aggressive forms of this musculoskeletal cancer. This absence of evidence motivated the current investigation into the role of soluble immune checkpoint proteins as potential indicators of disease severity and progression.

Purpose Of The Study:

This investigation characterized the landscape of circulating immune checkpoint proteins in the plasma of patients diagnosed with primary malignant bone tumors. The researchers sought to determine if specific soluble factors could serve as reliable diagnostic markers for distinguishing osteosarcoma patients from healthy individuals. A primary objective involved the development of a high-performance predictive model to forecast the occurrence of metastasis within a one-year timeframe. The study aimed to elucidate the relationship between systemic protein concentrations in the blood and the corresponding transcriptional activity within the primary tumor tissue. Investigators intended to identify distinct immunological subtypes of the disease by analyzing the expression patterns of eight specific regulatory factors. The research also explored the cellular sources of these soluble checkpoints using single-cell transcriptomic analysis to understand their role in the tumor microenvironment. By validating findings against public databases, the team worked to ensure the generalizability of their results across diverse patient populations.

Main Methods:

The experimental design involved analyzing plasma samples from a cohort of sixty-seven osteosarcoma patients alongside fifty healthy control subjects for comparative proteomic profiling. Scientists quantified the levels of multiple immune checkpoint proteins, including CD48, TIMD-4, B7-H6, CD134, B7-H5, CD47, and the S100A8/A9 complex. Transcriptional levels of these factors were examined in tumor tissues and subsequently validated using large-scale genomic data from publicly accessible repositories. The team used single-cell Ribonucleic Acid (RNA) sequencing to evaluate the differential expression of these regulatory molecules across various immune cell populations. A predictive model for metastasis was constructed and its accuracy was rigorously assessed using the Concordance Index (C-index) statistical framework. Correlation analyses were performed to compare the protein levels found in peripheral blood with the gene expression signatures observed in the tumor mass. The researchers employed advanced computational algorithms to categorize patients into specific immune subtypes based on their unique circulating protein profiles.

Main Results:

Plasma levels of CD48, TIMD-4, B7-H6, CD134, B7-H5, CD47, and S100A8/A9 were significantly elevated in individuals with osteosarcoma compared to the healthy control group. Statistical analysis revealed that each of these seven soluble factors was independently linked to an increased risk of harboring the primary bone malignancy. Patients who eventually developed metastatic disease exhibited higher concentrations of eight specific factors, including B7-H2, in their peripheral blood at the time of diagnosis. The predictive model based on these eight biomarkers achieved a C-index of 0.876, indicating superior performance in identifying patients at risk of metastasis. A significant finding was the inverse correlation between the gene expression of these factors in tumor tissues and their concentrations in systemic circulation. Single-cell transcriptomic data showed that non-specific immune cells from metastatic patients expressed these checkpoint factors differently than those from non-metastatic individuals. These results confirmed that circulating proteins provide a more accurate reflection of metastatic risk than localized transcriptional activity within the primary tumor.

Conclusions:

Soluble immune checkpoint factors in the blood provide a robust biological signature for identifying high-risk subtypes of primary malignant bone tumors. The integration of these eight peripheral biomarkers into a predictive model enables the early identification of patients likely to experience metastatic progression. These results highlight a significant discrepancy between systemic protein levels and localized tumor gene expression, suggesting complex regulatory mechanisms in osteosarcoma. The identified proteins, particularly CD48 and B7-H6, represent promising candidates for the development of novel immunotherapeutic strategies tailored to bone cancer. Implementing these non-invasive biomarkers in clinical practice could significantly improve patient stratification and allow for more personalized treatment interventions. The study provides a foundation for future longitudinal research to monitor therapeutic efficacy and disease recurrence using circulating immunological markers. Ultimately, these findings offer a pathway toward improving survival outcomes for patients facing the most aggressive forms of this malignancy.

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