Performance of Staging Systems for Non-head and Neck Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma
Lindsey M Voller1, Kelsey E Hirotsu1, Sumaira Z Aasi1
1Department of Dermatology, Stanford Medicine, Redwood City, CA, USA.
The Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) and American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition (AJCC8) staging systems show similar performance in predicting poor outcomes for non-head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (non-HNCSCCs). While specificity and negative predictive values were high, sensitivity and positive predictive values were low, indicating a need for improved prognostication.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Dermatology
- Cancer Staging
Background:
- Limited data exist on the efficacy of current staging systems for non-head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (non-HNCSCCs).
- Accurate staging is crucial for predicting patient outcomes and guiding treatment decisions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of the Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) and American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition (AJCC8) staging systems.
- To assess the predictive accuracy of these systems for poor outcomes in non-HNCSCCs.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 9300 non-HNCSCC cases from 11 institutions across two countries.
- Evaluation of local recurrence, metastasis, and disease-specific death as poor outcomes.
- Calculation of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and concordance index (c-index).
Main Results:
- Both BWH and AJCC8 systems demonstrated high specificity (0.98/0.96) and NPV (0.99/0.99) for predicting major poor outcomes.
- Sensitivities (0.48/0.49) and PPVs (0.17/0.13) were low for major poor outcomes.
- Concordance indices (c-indices) were moderately high (0.73/0.74), comparable to head and neck SCC literature.
Conclusions:
- The BWH and AJCC8 staging systems perform similarly for non-HNCSCCs, with acceptable performance for general use.
- The low sensitivity and PPV highlight the need for refinement of staging systems to improve prognostication accuracy.
- Further research is warranted to enhance the predictive capabilities of CSCC staging systems.
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