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Integrating Pre- and Postoperative Systemic Inflammatory Markers for Acute Kidney Injury Prediction Following Radical
Zhongqi Liu1, Peng Fan1, Yanan Lu1
1Department of Anesthesiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Perioperative inflammation predicts acute kidney injury (AKI) after radical cystectomy. Machine learning models, particularly XGBoost, accurately identify high-risk patients for early intervention and AKI prevention.
Area of Science:
- Urology
- Nephrology
- Oncology
Background:
- Radical cystectomy for bladder cancer can lead to acute kidney injury (AKI).
- Dynamic changes in systemic inflammation markers during the perioperative period are implicated in AKI development.
- Predictive tools for AKI post-radical cystectomy are crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between perioperative dynamic changes in systemic inflammation markers and AKI following radical cystectomy.
- To evaluate the predictive value of these inflammatory markers for AKI using machine learning algorithms.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 727 patients undergoing radical cystectomy (2013-2022).
- Calculation of perioperative inflammation index based on dynamic changes in peripheral blood cell counts.
- Development and evaluation of AKI prediction models using logistic regression and machine learning (XGBoost, AUROC).
Main Results:
- 20.8% of patients developed AKI post-radical cystectomy.
- Independent risk factors for AKI included lower postoperative hemoglobin and albumin, lower intraoperative fluid infusion rate, and higher perioperative inflammation index.
- The XGBoost model demonstrated the best AKI prediction performance with an AUROC of 0.801.
Conclusions:
- Perioperative dynamic changes in inflammatory markers are significantly associated with AKI after radical cystectomy.
- Integrating perioperative metrics into machine learning models allows for early AKI identification.
- These predictive models can optimize perioperative management strategies to prevent AKI.
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