Perceived Transit-Induced Gentrification, Walkability, and Crime: An Examination of the Purple Line Light Rail...

This study investigates perceived transit-induced gentrification in anticipation of the Maryland Purple Line light rail transit among residents of Prince George's County, Maryland, and its associations with walkability and crime. In spring 2021, Wave I of the Gauging Effects of Neighborhood Trends and Sickness Study collected data from 465 residents (61% Black/African American, 28% White) through an online questionnaire. Exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression revealed that greater accessibility (β = 0.160, p < 0.01) and a pedestrian-friendly environment (β = 0.212, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with higher neighborhood gentrification perceptions. In contrast, concerns about house break-ins (β = 0.134, p < 0.01), purchasing a gun (β = 0.101, p < 0.05), and walking barriers (β = 0.380, p < 0.01) were linked to heightened perceptions of neighborhood disruption. These findings underscore the need for transit-oriented development strategies that not only enhance walkability but also address residents' safety concerns and risk of displacement, ensuring more equitable and inclusive urban planning outcomes.