Long-term mortality and associated factors in first episode psychosis: a 25-year follow-up study

Individuals with first-episode psychosis (FEP) face markedly increased excess mortality, yet the long-term trends and key contributing factors remain insufficiently characterized. This study aimed to examine long-term mortality patterns, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), and associated factors in a FEP cohort.

This population-based cohort study included 1,389 individuals diagnosed with FEP, followed for up to 25 years. Mortality outcomes were obtained from Hong Kong's centralized hospital database (CMS) and coroner's court reports, with SMRs calculated. Baseline sociodemographic and clinical, as well as long-term treatment-related factors of all-cause, natural, and unnatural mortality were analyzed.

Among 1,389 participants, 137 deaths (9.86%) occurred during the follow-up period with the overall SMR of 6.56 (95% CI, 5.50-7.71). The cumulative incidence rate of unnatural mortality increased sharply over the first 10 years and that of the natural cause of death started to increase after the first decade of the illness. Male gender and poorer social functioning were associated with increased all-cause mortality risk, while male gender, lower education, and baseline hospitalization raised unnatural mortality risk. Greater monthly antipsychotic variability during the first 10 years increased all-cause mortality risk in the period after the initial 10 years.

This 25-year follow-up study of FEP highlighted the changes in the long-term mortality pattern of FEP and thus the phase-specific needs of individuals with FEP. Therefore, it is important to integrate physical care into mental health services, as well as stage-specific and individualized care for patients with psychotic disorders to reduce long-term excess mortality.