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Optimizing postnatal management based on prenatal UTD grading: a 5-year follow-up study of fetal hydronephrosis in a
Zhiqiang Mo1,2, Weiping Zhang3, Xianghui Xie1
1Department of Urology, Beijing Children's Hospital, Capital Medical University, National Center for Children's Health, Beijing, 100045, China.
Insights
Most fetal hydronephrosis (FH) cases resolve spontaneously. The Urinary Tract Dilation (UTD) classification system effectively identifies high-risk infants, guiding management and reducing unnecessary interventions for low-risk cases.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Nephrology
- Prenatal Diagnosis
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Fetal hydronephrosis (FH) is a common prenatal finding requiring careful postnatal evaluation.
- Predicting the natural history and identifying prognostic factors for FH is crucial for optimizing management.
- The Urinary Tract Dilation (UTD) classification system aims to standardize risk stratification for FH.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term natural history of fetal hydronephrosis in a Chinese population.
- To identify key prognostic factors influencing FH outcomes.
- To optimize postnatal management strategies using the UTD classification system.
Main Methods:
- A hybrid retrospective-prospective cohort study of 49,097 pregnant women, with 2,263 fetuses diagnosed with FH, followed for 5 years.
- Analysis of prenatal ultrasound parameters including anteroposterior renal pelvic diameter (APD) and A/R ratio.
- Stratification of cases into UTD A1 (low-risk) and UTD A2-3 (high-risk) groups for comparative analysis.
Main Results:
- The incidence of FH was 4.61%, with 97.39% resolving spontaneously by 5 years.
- Only 0.75% of cases required surgery, all within the UTD A2-3 group.
- Left renal APD and A/R ratio were independent predictors for surgery; UTD A2-3 group showed significantly higher risks of postnatal complications.
Conclusions:
- The majority of fetal hydronephrosis cases resolve spontaneously, necessitating conservative management for low-risk infants.
- The UTD classification system effectively stratifies postnatal risk, guiding clinical decisions.
- APD and A/R ratio are critical imaging predictors for surgical intervention in FH.
Objective:
To investigate the long-term natural history of fetal hydronephrosis (FH) in a Chinese population, identify key prognostic factors, and optimize evidence-based postnatal management strategies using the Urinary Tract Dilation (UTD) classification system.
Methods:
A hybrid retrospective-prospective cohort study was conducted among 49,097 pregnant women who received prenatal screening at Beijing Children's Hospital Shunyi Women's and Children's Hospital between January 2010 and March 2020. A total of 2,263 fetuses were diagnosed with hydronephrosis and followed for 5 years. Prenatal ultrasound parameters (anteroposterior renal pelvic diameter [APD], renal parenchymal thickness, and A/R ratio) and postnatal outcomes (surgery, urinary tract infections, hypertension) were analyzed. Cases were stratified into UTD A1 (low-risk) and A2 ~ 3 (high-risk) groups. Statistical analyses included generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMM), cumulative link mixed models (CLMM), and generalized linear models (GLM).
Results:
The incidence of fetal hydronephrosis was 4.61% (2,263/49,097). Among these, 9.01% (204/2,263) were confirmed postnatally, and only 0.75% (17/2,263) required surgery. By the final assessment at the 5-year follow-up, hydronephrosis had resolved spontaneously in 97.39% (2,204/2,263) of cases, with persistence in only 59 (2.61%). Multivariate analysis identified left renal APD (OR = 22.05, 95% CI: 21.99-22.11, p < 0.001) and left A/R ratio (OR = 22.39, 95% CI: 1.31-383.89, p = 0.03) as independent predictors for surgery. All surgical cases were in the UTD A2 ~ 3 group, which showed significantly higher risks of postnatal hydronephrosis (OR = 8.26, p < 0.001), persistence at 5 years (OR = 8.30, p < 0.001), and clinical symptoms (OR = 20.57, p < 0.001) compared to the UTD A1 group.
Conclusion:
Most cases of fetal hydronephrosis resolve spontaneously without intervention. The UTD system effectively stratifies postnatal risk. For asymptomatic infants in the UTD A1 group, routine ultrasound within the first year of life is sufficient, reducing unnecessary early imaging and family anxiety. APD and A/R ratio are critical imaging predictors for surgical decision-making.
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