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Small Samples, Big Insights: A Methodological Comparison of Estimation Techniques for Latent Divergent Thinking
Selina Weiss1, Lara S Elmdust1, Benjamin Goecke2
1Institute of Psychology, University of Hildesheim, Universitätsplatz 1, 31141 Hildesheim, Germany.
Bayesian structural equation modeling (SEM) offers a robust alternative to frequentist methods for small sample sizes in psychology. This study demonstrates Bayesian SEM
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Quantitative Psychology
- Psychometrics
Background:
- Small sample sizes pose significant challenges in psychological research, particularly for expert populations or complex methodologies.
- Frequentist confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) is sensitive to sample size, leading to convergence issues, inadmissible parameters, and poor model fit.
- Bayesian methods provide a robust alternative, less affected by sample size and capable of incorporating prior knowledge.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce small-sample-size structural equation modeling (SEM) to creativity research.
- To investigate the relationship between creative fluency, creative cleverness, and right-wing authoritarianism (RWA) using SEM with limited sample sizes.
- To compare the stability and reliability of frequentist versus Bayesian SEM under progressively smaller sample sizes.
Main Methods:
- Structural equation modeling (SEM) was employed, comparing frequentist and Bayesian approaches.
- The study began with a sample size of N = 198 and was progressively reduced in increments of n = 25.
- Key metrics assessed included frequentist fit indices and Bayesian Rhat values, alongside standard errors and regression coefficients.
Main Results:
- Frequentist fit indices degraded significantly below a sample size of N = 100.
- Bayesian multivariate Rhat values indicated stable convergence down to N = 50.
- Standard errors for fluency loadings inflated 40-50% faster in frequentist SEM compared to Bayesian estimation, while RWA-cleverness regression coefficients remained significant across all sample reductions.
Conclusions:
- Bayesian priors play a crucial role in stabilizing SEM results with small sample sizes.
- The relationship between right-wing authoritarianism and creative cleverness demonstrates robustness even with limited sample sizes.
- The findings provide practical guidelines for determining minimum sample sizes in bifactor modeling within psychological research.
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